Orchestration Plan: Climate Stability Citation Correction

# Orchestration Plan: Climate Stability Citation Correction

**Date:** 2025-11-29
**Orchestrator:** Main orchestrator
**Priority:** RESEARCH-CRITICAL
**Estimated Duration:** 4-6 hours

## Problem Statement

3 of 5 climate stability citations contradict the claims they support (Grade D - 60% failure rate). The 5% climate stability floor is NOT supported by cited research. This is a research integrity violation blocking research validation milestone.

**Critique:** `/home/lizthedeveloper_gmail_com/ai_game_theory_simulation/research/climate_stability_self_limiting_critique_20251126.md`

## Workflow Phases

### Phase 1: Research & Validation (Quality Gate 1)

**Agent:** Cynthia (super-alignment-researcher)
- **Task:** `/home/lizthedeveloper_gmail_com/ai_game_theory_simulation/.claude/agents/task_cynthia_climate_stability_research.md`
- **Output:** `research/climate_stability_mechanisms_20251129.md`
- **Timeline:** 2-3 hours
- **Success:** 3+ peer-reviewed sources supporting stability floor OR recommended alternative

**Agent:** Sylvia (research-skeptic)
- **Task:** Validate Cynthia's findings
- **Output:** `reviews/climate_stability_mechanisms_critique_20251129.md`
- **Timeline:** 1 hour
- **Success:** Pass validation (no fatal methodological flaws)

**Quality Gate 1:** Research must pass Sylvia's critique before implementation proceeds.

### Phase 2: Implementation

**Agent:** Roy (simulation-maintainer)
- **Task:** Update climate parameters based on validated research
- **Changes:**
  - Update/remove misleading citations in `ClimateSystemPhase.ts`
  - Adjust stability floor/degradation cap to research-backed values
  - Add proper research justification comments
- **Output:** Commit hash
- **Timeline:** 1-2 hours
- **Success:** Type checks pass, Monte Carlo deterministic

### Phase 3: Documentation

**Agent:** Historian (wiki-documentation-updater)
- **Task:** Update wiki with corrected citations
- **Changes:**
  - Update climate system documentation
  - Document parameter changes and justification
  - Cross-reference new research
- **Output:** Wiki updated
- **Timeline:** 30 minutes

## Coordination

**Channels:**
- `research` - Cynthia + Sylvia coordination
- `implementation` - Roy implementation updates
- `coordination` - Cross-team status

**Handoffs:**
1. Cynthia → Sylvia (research findings)
2. Sylvia → Roy (validated parameters)
3. Roy → Historian (implementation complete)

## Token Conservation

**Critical path only:**
- Cynthia: 2024-2025 climate feedback papers (skip general reviews)
- Sylvia: Verify mechanisms + parameters (skip philosophical critique)
- Roy: Update citations + parameters (skip refactoring)
- Historian: Document changes only (skip comprehensive rewrite)

## Success Criteria

- [ ] Research validation complete (Quality Gate 1 passed)
- [ ] Citations corrected (misleading citations removed/updated)
- [ ] Parameters adjusted to research-backed values
- [ ] Documentation updated
- [ ] Commit hash provided
- [ ] Type checks pass
- [ ] Monte Carlo deterministic

## Blocking Issues

**CRITICAL-1:** Hindcast validation failure (separate issue, parallel track)
**HIGH-2:** Carbon cycle over-calibration (separate issue, parallel track)

**This work proceeds independently** - research integrity cannot wait for calibration.

## Current Status

- [x] Critique document reviewed
- [x] Task files created
- [ ] Cynthia spawned → IN PROGRESS
- [ ] Sylvia validation
- [ ] Roy implementation
- [ ] Historian documentation
- [ ] Complete

## Notes

This is NOT a calibration task - this is a research integrity correction. The 5% stability floor may be defensible with proper citations, or it may need adjustment. Research determines the path forward.